Tuesday, June 14, 2022

Rocking and Rolling in Hanalei with some north swell now

Gorgeous Hanalei Valley


 "Be careless in your dress if you must, but keep a tidy soul" 

~ Mark Twain 


6/14/22


Stephen and I have been looking at the weather closely now. Our intended leave date was today but the wind appears to be more NE than East on Tues, and Wed. We can point but I will show below the physics of the True Wind and the Apparent Wind. We can point up to 30 degrees but it is a tight margin and hard to maintain before you get into the NO SAIL zone of less than 30 Starboard or Port side tack. With the True Wind angle being in the 70s today, it moves the apparent wind angle closer to our tight margin of less than 45 and closer to 30... (see below). Thursday, the wind definitely stays East, and then even as the days march on, stays out of the east and even a southeast component and that would be great too.

Yesterday, we borrowed a car from a local friend to head to Costco, do laundry, and top off Propane. Start with 2 paddleboards loaded up with a huge dry bag full of laundry ( last laundry 2 weeks ago, so bedsheets/light blankets too), the propane tank, and bags to bring food back in. Luckily, our friends with the car live on a sailboat too and offered to dinghy us back when we returned. We were so thankful when we returned to make ONE dinghy trip back to Soulstice and with No rain!! Oh,, the simple joys! Stephen and I were talking about how accomplished the day felt and it is funny that these are things you would do without associated grateful feeling but we were. Grateful we got a friend's car and did not have to pay 90+ dollars per day and still have to take a 2 hr bus ride each way to Lihue just to get it and return back to Hanalei. Grateful it was not pouring rain. Grateful our friends offered the dinghy ride back because ours was packed up on our foredeck and paddleboarding all the stuff would be challenging. Grateful we returned later so the sea state was calm in the anchorage.  And Grateful that we were Not leaving the next day because we were pooped after all the traveling on the island, shopping and then once again trying to have Soulstice swallow up some more stuff. Nuff' said. 

So our plans changed due to the better direction of the wind we see forecasted this Thursday. We primarily use the ECMWF and Windy. There are the GFS, SPIRE, UKMO models as well but in our experience, the EC seems to have the most accurate forecast that matches with what we see when we are out in the conditions. We do compare all the models regardless to evaluate for continuity in forecasts. The winds today and tomorrow are more Northeast and will turn more East on Thursday. 

It is hard to wait as we are ready and anxious to go but having conditions be more comfortable is similar to working smarter not harder. We could leave today but it would mean getting pushed farther west possibly to get a better point of sail and we want to go due North.  Another strategy would be to tack, which you lose ground because you are unable to head due North and just add on more mileage and more effort. This is why we decided to wait until Thursday. And in the big scheme of things we have been waiting weeks and 48 hours more is not really going to affect our arrival date much and may improve our time because of the aforementioned issues. 

The other 2 boats from Ko Olina marina that were heading to Alaska had more loose ends to tie up but seems they are both planning a Saturday departure. This will be nice to have some company out in the large blue pool. They are both speedier boats than us. One of the boats is lighter with a fin keel ( Jeanneau) and the other boat is larger so bigger water line ( Hallberg Rassy 46). 

I will post some pictures below to show how the high is forming and pushing the ugly low pressures farther north and keeping them west as we would like to see. 











Saturday - 100km resolution
frida
Friday - 100km resolution
THURSDAY - Leave Day - see the that big UGLY low SW of the Aleutians but if you look above at Friday and Saturday it gets broken up and pushed to Aleutians and NOT COMING MORE EAST - YEAH North Pacific high doing its job! 

Wednesday 
Tuesday - TODAY
Tuesday - see the Northeast wind

Wednesday - NE still



THURSDAY _ Leave Day ! More EAST now 




Friday still East :) 


Saturday still East :)

Friend's car - honda civic! Love them, this guy with roll-up windows and push locks! 

Check out the old-school move your side mirror knob!!!
Love it / Hate it relationship for me! 
LOVE IT!!!
ODE TO MR. TOAD - this is the scene everywhere in Hanalei :(( Wanted to acknowledge and say farewell to Mr. Toad and hope more rain comes! 
Lush valley in Hanalei
Good pic to show orographic lifting!!

Cruising ground coming up 
Cruising ground coming up! 
Our soon to be Cruising ground

white vinegar treatment on the NRS straps - always a continuous battle to fight corrosion which locks up the springs/clamps








Shackles for the Jordon Series Drogue and attaching thick Dyneema to chain plates that on the port and starboard stern hull 


Jordon Series Drogue in a blue bag attached to hydrovane with NRS straps. Out on stern and ready to deploy if necessary and HOPE NEVER NECESSARY!!! but better to be prepared!!!



Morning reading in the cockpit! See the enclosed cockpit now - that is the Iverson panels



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